Chicken More Affordable Than Daal in Pakistan?

Pakistan's finance minister Ishaq Dar has suggested to his countrymen to eat chicken instead of daal (pulses or legumes). Does the minister sound like Queen Marie-Antoinette (wife of France's King Louis XVI) who reportedly said to hungry rioters during the French Revolution:  “Qu'ils mangent de la brioche”—“Let them eat cake”? Let's look into it.

It is indeed true that some varieties of daal are priced higher than chicken. For example, maash is selling at Rs. 260 per kilo, higher than chicken meat at Rs. 200 per kilo. But other daals such as mung, masur and chana are cheaper than chicken.

The reason for higher daal prices and relatively lower chicken prices can be found in the fact that Pakistan's livestock industry, particularly poultry farming, has seen significant growth that the nation's pulse crop harvests have not.

Poultry Farm in Pakistan

Pakistan's poultry industry achieved 127% growth in the total number of birds produced, 126% growth in the total meat production and 71%growth in terms of total eggs produced between 2000 and 2010, according to government data. As a result, the cheapest sources of animal protein in Pakistan are the eggs and meat from the poultry sector.  As of 2013, the per capita availability of poultry meat in Pakistan is 5 kg. In addition, Pakistanis consume 51 eggs per year per capita.

Major Pulse Producing Nations in 2011

Poultry share of meat consumption in Pakistan has steadily increased over the years.  In 1971, the market share of beef was 61%, mutton was 37%, and poultry meat a mere 2-2.5%. In 2010 the market share of poultry meat had increased to 25%, while beef and mutton declined to 55% and 20% respectively.  This increase in the overall size of the poultry sector has decreased the gap between the supply and demand of animal proteins and helped stabilize beef and mutton prices, making meat relatively more affordable to more people.

Production of daal, another important source of protein in Pakistan, has not kept pace with demand. Domestic production is not enough to provide 6-7 kilos of daal per person consumed in the country. Pakistan is forced to resort to imports to meet demand. Pakistan spent $139 million to import 628,000 tons of pulses in fiscal year 2010-2011. Pulse imports jumped to $224 million in July 2014 to January 2015 period, according to a report.

Overall, livestock contribution to agriculture in Pakistan has now risen to 58.55 percent, with the rest coming from crops, fisheries and forestry, according to Economic Survey of Pakistan 2015-16. The agriculture sector accounts for 19.82 percent of GDP and 42.3 percent of employment with strong backward and forward linkages. Dairy farming has grown in Pakistan by leaps and bounds, making the country the third largest milk producer in the world.

Services sector now accounts for 59.16% of Pakistan's GDP,  the largest sector of the economy, followed by industrial sector that contributes 21.02%. Manufacturing is the most important sub-sector of the industrial sector containing 64.71 percent share in the overall industrial sector.

There has been significant progress in increasing animal protein supply via growth in Pakistan's livestock sector over the last few decades. Nations' policymakers now need to focus on increasing plant protein sources to close the gap between protein supply and demand in an affordable manner.

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  • Riaz Haq

    Pakistan Economic Survey: Health & Nutrition 2021-22

    https://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapter_22/PES11-HEALTH.pdf

    Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) in Pakistan has declined to 54.2 deaths per 1,000 live births
    in 2020 from 55.7 in 2019, while Neonatal Mortality Rate declined to 40.4 deaths per
    1,000 live births in 2020 from 41.2 in 2019. Percentage of birth attended by skilled
    health personnel increased to 69.3 percent in 2020 from 68 percent in 2019 (DHS & UNICEF). Maternal Mortality Ratio fell to 186 maternal deaths per 100,000 births in
    2020, from 189 in 2019 (Table 11.1).
    With a population growing at 2 percent per annum, Pakistan’s contraceptive prevalence
    rate in 2020 decreased to 33 percent from 34 percent in 2019 (Trading Economics).
    Pakistan’s tuberculosis incidence is 259 per 100,000 population and HIV prevalence rate
    is 0.12 per 1,000 population in 2020.


    Table 11.1: Health Indicators of Pakistan
    2019 2020
    Maternal Mortality Ratio (Per 100,000 Births)* 189 186
    Neonatal Mortality Rate (Per 1,000 Live Births) 41.2 40.4
    Mortality Rate, Infant (Per 1,000 Live Births) 55.7 54.2
    Under-5 Mortality Rate (Per 1,000) 67.3 65.2
    Incidence of Tuberculosis (Per 100,000 People) 263 259
    Incidence of HIV (Per 1,000 Uninfected Population) 0.12 0.12
    Life Expectancy at Birth, (Years) 67.3 67.4
    Births Attended By Skilled Health Staff (% of Total)** 68.0 (2015) 69.3 (2018)
    Contraceptive Prevalence, Any Methods (% of Women Ages 15-49) 34.0 33
    Source: WDI, UNICEF, Trading Economics & Our World in data
    -----------

    Food and nutrition

    Calories/day 2019-20 2457 2020-21 2786 2021-22 2735

    -------

    Table 11.9: Availability of Major Food Items per annum (Kg per capita)
    Food Items 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 (P)**
    Cereals 139.9 170.8 164.7
    Pulses 7.8 7.6 7.3
    Sugar 23.3 28.5 28.3
    Milk (Liter) 168.7 171.8 168.8
    Meat (Beef, Mutton, Chicken) 22.0 22.9 22.5
    Fish 2.9 2.9 2.9
    Eggs (Dozen) 7.9 8.2 8.1
    Edible Oil/ Ghee 14.8 15.1 14.5
    Fruits & Vegetables 53.6 52.4 68.3
    Calories/day 2457 2786 2735
    Source: M/o PD&SI (Nutrition Section)

  • Riaz Haq

    #Pakistan #poultry industry growing 10-12% a year. 15,000 poultry farms throughout the country with capacities ranging from 5,000 to 500,000 broilers. The industry produces 1.3 million tons of #chicken meat annually. #food #protein #calories https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk/2022/06/06/poultry-industry-gro... via @Profitpk

    Poultry is one of the fastest-growing industries in Pakistan with investments of about Rs1.1 trillion.

    According to the Pakistan Poultry Association (PPA) report, the industry is the largest agro-based segment, generating employment and income for about 1.5 million people directly and indirectly.

    The sector is growing at a fast pace of 10-12% per annum. At present, around Rs190 billion worth of agriculture products are being used by the poultry industry, speeding up the growth in the agriculture sector.

    There are estimated 15,000 poultry farms throughout the country with their capacity ranging from 5,000 to 500,000 broilers. Pakistan’s poultry industry produces 1,245 million kilograms of chicken meat annually.

    Ali Hasnain, a supervisor of the poultry sector, said that Pakistan’s poultry industry was no less than the international standards. “The poultry industry meets 50% of the total demand for meat in the country, and the rest is met by other meat products like beef, mutton and fish.”

    “With the introduction of advanced technologies, more investments are coming around to cater to market needs and earn handsome revenues,” said Ali Hasnain, adding the poultry industry still had a lot of potential to contribute to the economy.

    As per the PPA report, meat consumption per capita in Pakistan is less than the developed countries. The consumption of meat and eggs per capita is 6.2 kilograms and 56 eggs annually. In the developed world, the per capita meat consumption is 40 kilograms and 300 eggs annually.

    According to the World Health Organisation, a person needs 27 grams of animal protein per day, while most people in Pakistan only consume 17 grams.

    To meet the international standards of meat consumption, the supply and production need to be increased and prices need to be brought down so that consumers can get the required meat and egg consumption levels. An increase in production will certainly require more investments in the industry.

    To boost production and bring down product rates, imports of poultry-related equipment should be exempted from duties and taxes.

    In addition, as growers increasingly need land to establish sheds, the government should provide state land to investors at nominal rates to generate investments and more production.

    Haniful Hassan, owner of a poultry farm, said that the current increase in prices of chicken was due to rise in prices of poultry feed. “The price of a feedbag has risen by 900 per bag in the last five months. We want the government to bring down the poultry feed rates to offset the price spiral,” he added.

    Haniful Hassan called for establishing poultry research institutes, production directorates and a federal poultry board to provide research and training to farmers.

    The government should also ensure easy availability of loans to people related to the industry.

  • Riaz Haq

    Pakistan's livestock sector is a foundational pillar of its national economy, engaging over 30 to 35 million rural laborers and supporting more than 8 million rural families.

    Key Sector Overview

    • Economic Contribution: Accounts for over 60% of agricultural value-added and a major share of national GDP.
    • Animal Population: According to recent agricultural data, the country's livestock counts roughly 56 million cattle, 48 million buffaloes (including prized breeds like the Nili-Ravi and Kundi), 96 million goats, and 45 million sheep.
    • Primary Breeds: Renowned dairy and dual-purpose breeds include Sahiwal and Red Sindhi cattle, alongside the Nili-Ravi buffalo.
    • Export & Trade: Pakistan exports significant amounts of meat and live animals—particularly to Gulf countries (UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Qatar)—and recently introduced duty- and tax-free import schemes to expand commercial feedlots and export-oriented processing.
    • Current Initiatives: The government has launched programs like duty-free fattening and export tracks under Dawn Business News, alongside bilateral disease-control partnerships with Turkiye to tackle Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD).

    ———-

    Pakistan has an estimated total chicken and poultry population of 1.5 billion to over 1.57 billion birds, ranking it among the top poultry-producing countries globally (often cited around 3rd to 8th largest depending on whether total livestock inventory or commercial broiler/layer metrics are used).
    Key facts about Pakistan's poultry and chicken numbers:
    • Total Chicken Population: Roughly 1.58 billion according to recent livestock estimates.
    • Annual Production: The country produces about 2.8 million tonnes of chicken meat and 28.2 billion eggs annually.
    • Industry Scale: The poultry sector is a major pillar of Pakistan's agricultural economy, supporting over 1.5 million families.