Solar Power Boom in Pakistan

Falling solar panel prices and soaring rates for grid electricity are driving a renewable power boom in Pakistan. A second factor spurring the growth in clean energy installations is the requirement of major western apparel brands for garments and textile manufacturers to switch to clean energy. As a result, the solar panel imports in the country jumped from 2,800 MW in 2022 to 5,000 MW in 2023, in spite of stringent import controls imposed by the government. Solar imports are on track to reach 12,000 MW in 2024, according to solar installers. The total current installed generation capacity in Pakistan is around 40,000 MW. Grid electricity demand in Pakistan plunged in 2023 by nearly a sixth and a decline in 2024 would mark the first time in 16 years that annual electricity use has fallen consecutively, data from energy think tank Ember showed, according to Reuters.

Pakistan Solar Panel Imports. Source: PV Magazine

Omar Malik, the CEO of Shams Power, a major solar system contractor in Pakistan, was recently quoted by PV Magazine as saying: “In 2022, 2.8 GW of solar panels were imported into Pakistan. In 2023, about 5 GW, despite the import controls, and this year the prediction is for up to 12 GW”. 

Aamir Hussain, chairman Pakistan Alternative Energy Association, told Arab News that solar panels of around 1,800 MW were purchased and installed last year, which was expected to jump to 3,000 MW this year due to the lower prices of the panels and increased customer demand.

 “Pakistan will be spending over $3.5 billion [this year] on solar panel imports only as this doesn’t include import of batteries, inverters and other auxiliary items,” Hussain said. “Pakistan needs to follow consistent policies regarding renewable energy to meet its national and international obligations for the greenhouse gas emissions.”

Pakistan's Monthly Solar Imports in millions of US$. Source: Bloomberg

Japanese publication Nikkei Asia recently reported seeing residential building rooftops covered with solar panels in Islamabad. It also reported proliferation of rooftop solar in small towns and villages across the country. In particular, the Nikkei story mentioned the remote village of Kardigap with a population of 5,000, in Balochistan province, where solar panels are becoming more common on the rooftops of houses. 

Responding to western apparel brands' demand for sustainability, a number of large Pakistani textile manufacturers are switching to clean energy, particularly solar. Tayyab Group of Industries (TGOIs), a major textile manufacturer, has recently signed an MOU to install a 20 MW solar system for its needs. Gul Ahmed Textile Mills Limited announced recently that it will install a 17.1 MW roof-top solar power plant to meet its energy needs.

While rapid uptake of solar is good news for the planet, it does create a major fiscal issue for the Pakistani government struggling to pay for power produced by the independent power producers (IPPs). The IPPs, many of them Chinese, secured a guaranteed return on investment indexed to the U.S. dollar, plus payment for fixed capacity charges -- covering their debt servicing and other fixed costs -- regardless of whether the power plants are operational, according to Nikkei Asia. As the demand for the grid power from the IPPs declines with rising solar, the taxpayers are still on the hook for the unused installed capacity charges running into billions of dollars. Higher power tariffs and taxes will only make the situation worse. 

Capping Net Metering power and reducing payments for supplying excess power to the grid are not going to solve the problem either. It will only encourage more consumers to switch to rooftop solar and use less electricity from the grid. Self consumption of the rooftop solar power saves significant energy costs for the consumer. 

It seems the only way forward for the Pakistan government is to renegotiate the terms with the IPPs to significantly reduce grid power costs to address the growing cost gap between rooftop solar and the grid power. 

Related Links:

Haq's Musings

South Asia Investor Review

Clean Energy Revolution in Pakistan

Pakistan Electric Vehicle Policy

Nuclear Power in Pakistan

Recurring Cycles of Drought and Floods in Pakistan

Pakistan's Response to Climate Change

IPP Contacts Bankrupting Pakistan

Renewable Energy for Pakistan

Net Metering in Pakistan

LNG Imports in Pakistan

Growing Water Scarcity in Pakistan

China-Pakistan Economic Corridor

Ownership of Appliances and Vehicles in Pakistan

CPEC Transforming Pakistan

Pakistan's $20 Billion Tourism Industry Boom

Riaz Haq's YouTube Channel

PakAlumni Social Network

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  • Riaz Haq

    Pakistan unveils new net metering rules for rooftop PV – pv magazine International

    Pakistan’s National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) has initiated a public consultation on proposed revisions to solar net-metering regulations. A key change under consideration is a reduction in the tariff for surplus solar power, which could be cut by half from PKR 26 ($0.093) per kWh to PKR 13 per kWh.

    https://www.pv-magazine.com/2025/12/18/pakistan-unveils-new-net-met...

    Pakistan’s NEPRA has launched a public consultation on new rules it intends to apply to PV systems up to 1 MW operating under the country's net metering regime.

    The Prosumer Regulations 2025 are intended to replace the Net Metering Regulations issued in 2015.

    Under the new rules, the sale of surplus power to the grid will be made through a new net billing arrangement, with PV system owners being credited based on a nationally determined average energy purchase price rather than full one-to-one net credits.

    Furthermore, surplus power will be purchased by the utility at Pakistan’s national average energy purchase price, which will likely be lower than current incentive rates. According to local media outlet Daily Times, the tariff may drop from around PKR 26 ($0.093) per kWh to PKR 13 per kWh.

    Moreover, the standard net metering agreement term should be reduced from 7 years to 5 years, with extensions being possible by mutual consent of prosumers and utilities. The existing agreements under the 2015 regulations will continue until their terms expire. Afterward, new terms under the 2025 rules would apply.

    The proposed changes, if implemented, will mean the country will transition from a pure net-metering mechanism toward a net billing approach, which NEPRA says will balance renewable adoption with utility sustainability and grid reliability.

    Distributed solar under net metering, on the other hand, has seen a vertiginous development in Pakistan over the past two years.

    The country installed 1.2 GW of net-metering capacity across the first six months of 2025, according to figures from the Islamabad-based think tank Renewables First.

    Cumulative net-metering capacity increased from 4.9 GW at the end of last year to 6.1 GW by the end of June. The growth rate is slower than that recorded during the second half of 2024, when 2.5 GW of net-metering capacity was added.

    Rabia Babar, manager data for energy and climate at Renewables First, told pv magazine that while H1 2025 saw a surge in net-metering applications, the pace of issuance slowed. “As of June, over 4,000 new net metering connections were pending with various utilities, with regulatory bottlenecks contributing to a growing backlog,” Babar explained.

  • Riaz Haq

    Pakistan
    has recently approved a plan to convert high-loss electricity feeders to solar energy to reduce operational costs, curb power losses, and ensure a continuous supply of electricity. 
    Key Details of the Initiative
    • Objective: The primary goal is to establish low-cost, environmentally friendly, and sustainable micro-grids in underserved and remote regions of the country. This is expected to significantly reduce the financial burden on power distribution companies and the national grid.
    • Approval and Directives: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif granted in-principle approval for the project on January 9, 2026, and directed authorities to begin work immediately.
    • Pilot Projects: The first phase involves launching pilot projects for high-loss feeders operated by:
      • Peshawar Electric Supply Company (PESCO) in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province.
      • Quetta Electric Supply Company (QESCO) in Balochistan province.
      • These pilot schemes will serve as blueprints for a potential nationwide rollout.
    • Implementation Model: The project emphasizes community and political engagement, with local communities, provincial authorities, and the federal government acting as key stakeholders to ensure long-term sustainability and ownership.
    • Broader Context: This initiative aligns with Pakistan's wider push to reform its power sector, expand renewable energy sources, and meet climate change mitigation goals, partly under the umbrella of IMF-backed economic reforms. 

  • Riaz Haq

    AI Overview
    Surprise Solar Boom in Pakistan Helps Millions, But Harms ...
    Pakistan is experiencing a massive, rapid solar boom driven by high grid tariffs and cheap Chinese panels, with solar power quickly becoming a major energy source, including localized solar microgrids for off-grid and unreliable grid areas to provide reliable, affordable power for homes and businesses, though challenges like grid stability and financing remain. 
    Key Aspects of Pakistan's Solar Microgrid Movement
    • Driving Forces: Skyrocketing national grid electricity costs and the influx of affordable solar panels from China are fueling grassroots adoption, notes the World Economic Forum and NPR.
    • Rapid Adoption: Solar's share of Pakistan's energy mix jumped dramatically in 2024-2025, with installations happening at an "unprecedented" speed, according to Ember and NPR.
    • Microgrid Types: Solutions range from tiny "PICOGRIDS" for basic needs in rural areas to "NANOGRIDS" for single homes, all using solar PV and batteries for consistent power.
    • Benefits: They offer 24/7 power, economic growth, job creation, and reduced reliance on fossil fuels in off-grid areas, according to the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS) and Paksolar Services.
    • Market Role: While official policy supports renewables, much of the solar growth, including microgrids, is market-driven as citizens seek alternatives to unreliable grid power, notes DW and the World Economic Forum. 
    Challenges & Outlook
    • Grid Strain: The mass adoption of distributed solar puts pressure on the national grid, impacting state finances and potentially increasing costs for remaining connected users, notes Energy for Growth Hub and the World Economic Forum.
    • Regulatory Gaps: The regulatory framework (like NEPRA) is evolving to support microgrids, but broader adoption needs streamlined policies, says Paksolar Services.
    • Future: The trend points towards greater decentralized energy, with companies like Huaweioffering smart microgrid solutions, notes Paksolar Services and Huawei.