Pak-Saudi Joint Defense: Is Pakistan A Major Power or Bit Player in the Middle East?

Sep 27, 2025

The recently signed “Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement” between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan states that “any aggression against either country will be considered an aggression against both”. It is being seen by some geopolitical analysts as the beginning of an "Islamic NATO". Others, such as Indian-American analyst Shadanand Dhume, have dismissed Pakistan as no more than a "bit player" in the Middle East. Where does the truth lie?

Pakistan PM Shahbaz Sharif(L) with Saudi Crown Prince MBS

Is Pakistan really capable of defending Saudi Arabia and other Arab Gulf nations against external aggression such as the recent Israeli attack on Qatar? Can Pakistan provide a nuclear umbrella to deter aggression against its friends in the Middle East? Or is it too weak economically and unstable politically to provide security guarantees to the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) nations like Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates? Let's try and understand the context which has brought about this bilateral security arrangement between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia.

The oil-rich Gulf Arab nations have long relied on the West for their security. But, on September 9, 2025, when Israel launched an airstrike on a residential compound in Doha, Qatar, the U.S. and its western allies did nothing to defend the Qataris. It’s notable that this attack occurred on a U.S. ally which hosts the largest American military base in the region. The fact that the United States did nothing to stop this Israeli aggression has shaken the confidence of the G.C.C. nations in the willingness of the United States to defend them, particularly from any Israeli attacks. Israel has attacked almost every country in the Middle East, including Iran, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen in the last 12 months. Israel has gone rogue. It is carrying out a genocide in Gaza with impunity. It is being aided and abetted by the West in its crimes against humanity. It appears to have the license from the United States to do so.

Given these realities, who can the Gulf Arabs turn to for security? Which Muslim nation has Saudi Arabia had the closest military ties with for decades? Which country with nuclear weapons is most likely to deter attacks on the Saudis from nuclear-armed adversaries like Israel? Who else but nuclear-armed Pakistan!

Oval Office Photo: L to R: VP JD Vance, President Trump, PM Sharif, FM Munir & Sec of State Rubio

There has been no official reaction to the Pakistani-Saudi Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement so far. However, judging from the recent cordial meeting of the Pakistani Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif and Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir with President Trump at the White House, it appears that Team Trump does not object to it.

In recent years, Pakistan has emerged as a credible military power in terms of both conventional and nuclear capabilities. The Pakistani military's strong performance was recognized in May this year as it responded to what India called its "Operation Sindoor". The country has developed a range of short and medium-range missiles capable of carrying both conventional and nuclear warheads. Its longest range missile Shaheen 3 can hit deep inside India and Israel. Last year, the Biden administration imposed sanctions against Pakistan after accusing it of developing intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) capable of reaching the US mainland.

In January this year at an Islamabad event, Ambassador Munir Akram articulated potential rationales for developing a missile of increased range, according to the US Congressional Research Service. A missile exceeding the Shaheen-III range may be necessary to reach Indian missiles deployed on bases in the Indian Ocean located "well beyond" the Shaheen-III range, he said, adding that India has sought to establish access to such bases. Akram also posited that Pakistan may need to develop an indigenous space launch vehicle or an anti-satellite weapon; ballistic missile programs can aid the development of such platforms.

Biden Administration Accused Pakistan of Developing Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles

Yes, Pakistan does have a weak economy. But that is primarily because of significant underinvestment over decades. That’s where the oil-rich Gulf Arab nations can help. They have been investing trillions of dollars in the West in the hope of getting security from them. They have huge sovereign investment funds which can invest in Pakistan. Even if they invest a fraction of what they have invested in the U.S., the positive effects on Pakistan’s economy will be immense.

As to Pakistan’s political instability, it can be managed by a hybrid system of government where the politicians and the generals reach an understanding to benefit both as well as the country. It will also serve Saudi interests to use its considerable influence in Pakistan to bring political and economic stability to the country.

Given today's geopolitical realities, Pakistan is the best choice for Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations to deter aggression from Israel and other aggressors in the region. Gulf Arab nations have generally welcomed the Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement (SMDA) between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, viewing it as a move that strengthens regional security amid concerns about US commitments. Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian has also welcomed it, describing it as "a beginning for a comprehensive regional security system". In a speech to the United Nations General Assembly, he said: “Iran welcomes the defensive pact between the two brotherly Muslim countries, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, as a beginning for a comprehensive regional security system with the cooperation of the Muslim states of West Asia in the political security and defense domains”.

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Riaz Haq

Saudi Arabia preparing for strategic economic pact with Pakistan, Saudi envoy says

https://www.arabnews.pk/node/2633388/pakistan

The statement follows the signing of a bilateral defense agreement in Sept. to enhance joint deterrence
Both nations also agreed on an economic framework to prioritize energy, industry, mining and other projects

ISLAMABAD: Saudi Arabia is preparing to sign a strategic economic pact with Pakistan to further strengthen ties between the two brotherly nations, the Saudi ambassador to Pakistan said on Tuesday, months after both countries signed a Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement (SMDA).

The statement by Saudi Ambassador Nawaf bin Said Al-Malki came during his interaction with Arab News on the sidelines of the launch of the King Salman Humanitarian Aid and Relief Center’s (KSrelief) Ramadan food assistance program for deserving Pakistanis.

It followed a landmark defense pact between the two countries, signed in Sept. last year, under which Islamabad and Riyadh pledged that aggression against one would be treated as an attack on both.

The move was widely viewed as formalization of longstanding military cooperation into a binding commitment, while both countries agreed a month later to launch an economic cooperation framework to strengthen trade and investment ties.

“Three months ago, we signed, you know, the Strategic Mutual Defense agreement. Today, god willing, we will be preparing for another, you know, strategic plan for the economy of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia,” the Saudi ambassador told Arab News, adding the economic plan would be signed “soon.”

Saudi Arabia and Pakistan agreed to launch the economic cooperation framework to strengthen trade and investment ties during Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to Riyadh in Oct. last year.

A joint statement issued after Sharif’s meeting with Crown Prince Mohammed said the framework would include several strategic, high-impact projects, prioritizing energy, industry, mining, information technology, tourism, agriculture and food security.

“This framework represents an extension of both countries’ efforts to strengthen their fraternal relations and reaffirms their shared vision toward building a sustainable partnership across various economic, trade and investment fields,” the joint statement said in Oct.

The two countries have already signed a memorandum of understanding for an electricity interconnection project.

Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have enjoyed close relations for decades but have moved to broaden their cooperation in recent years. In 2024, the two countries had also signed 34 memorandums of understanding (MoUs) worth $2.8 billion across multiple sectors.

The KSrelief Ramadan food assistance program, launched on Tuesday, aimed to distribute 27,000 food baskets to support 192,500 vulnerable individuals in 30 districts across Pakistan.

Each food package includes 80 kilograms of wheat flour, 5 liters of cooking oil, 5 kilograms of sugar, 2 kilograms of dates, and 5 kilograms of gram pulse, according to the charity. The contents are calculated to sustain an average household for the entire month of Ramadan.

“The project reflects the Center’s broader humanitarian mandate to alleviate suffering, enhance resilience, and support vulnerable communities,” the Saudi charity said.

“KSrelief reaffirms its continued commitment to addressing food security challenges in Pakistan.”

Feb 17
Riaz Haq

Trita Parsi
@tparsi
MUST-WATCH!!

The geopolitical earthquake of the past year in the Middle East is that key Arab states are openly saying that Israel - not Iran - is the main threat and destabilizing factor in the region. And that Israel's ultimate objective is to assert regional hegemony and expand its territory even further.

In this exchange between
@TuckerCarlson
and Amb. Huckabee, Tucker exposes a comnfirmation of these fears. Pro-Israeli voices and Christian Zionists do not seek security for Israel, but rather hegemony and greater territory.

Huckabee tells Tucker that Israel has a Biblical right over the lands between the Nile and Euphrates — and that “it would be fine if they took it all.”

Let that sink in. Huckabee wants Israel to annex parts of Egypt, Turkey, Saudi, and Iraq, as well as all of Lebanon, Jordan, and Syria.

So these countries have built alliances with a country - the US - whose representative to Israel openly states that he wants their territory to fall under Israel's control, because that is what the Bible says...

https://x.com/tparsi/status/2025343611362320519?s=20

--------------------

TRT World
@trtworld
US envoy Mike Huckabee says "it would be fine" under "Biblical right" if Israel seizes all land from Nile to Euphrates, encompassing Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, and parts of Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iraq

https://x.com/trtworld/status/2025042814497607900?s=20

---------------

Shaun King
@shaunking
The most important thing that Tucker says here is this:

@netanyahu
is not even a practicing Jew.

He’s a European atheist who hasn’t taken Judaism seriously his entire adult life.

He has ZERO ancestral connection to the land. He’s Polish.

His real last name is Mileikowsky.

https://x.com/shaunking/status/2025405451949486467?s=20

--------------

Brian Allen
@allenanalysis
🚨 BREAKING: Mike Huckabee just triggered a full-blown diplomatic backlash.

After saying it would be “fine” for Israel to take over the Middle East, 14 countries + major regional blocs publicly condemned him.

Jordan. UAE. Saudi Arabia. Egypt. Türkiye. Indonesia. Qatar. Lebanon. Kuwait. Pakistan. Bahrain. Oman. Palestine. Syria.

Plus the OIC, Arab League, and Gulf states.

This administration is lighting matches in a gasoline factory.

https://x.com/allenanalysis/status/2025341345926447498?s=20

Feb 21
Riaz Haq

United States’ intelligence chief Tulsi Gabbard on Wednesday (March 18, 2026) told lawmakers that Pakistan’s long-range ballistic missile development could include missiles capable of targeting the US.

https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/pakistans-long-range-ba...

United States’ intelligence chief Tulsi Gabbard on Wednesday (March 18, 2026) told lawmakers that Pakistan’s long-range ballistic missile development could include missiles capable of targeting the US.

In a testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee, Ms. Gabbard, the Director of National Intelligence, also said that the threats to the U.S. were set to expand collectively from more than 3,000 missiles at present to more than 16,000 missiles by 2035.

“The U.S. secure nuclear deterrent continues to ensure safety in the Homeland against strategic threats. However, Russia, China, North Korea, Iran and Pakistan have been researching and developing an array of novel, advanced, or traditional missile delivery systems with nuclear and conventional payloads that put our Homeland within range,” Ms. Gabbard said.

She said the U.S. Intelligence Community assesses that threats to the Homeland will expand collectively to more than 16,000 missiles by 2035, from the current assessed figure of more than 3,000 missiles.

“The IC assesses that China and Russia are developing advanced delivery systems meant to be capable of penetrating or bypassing US missile defences,” Ms. Gabbard said.

The U.S. top intelligence official said that North Korea’s ICBMs can already reach U.S. soil, and it is committed to expanding its nuclear arsenal. “Pakistan’s long-range ballistic missile development potentially could include ICBMs with the range capable of striking the Homeland,” Ms. Gabbard said.

She said that Iran has previously demonstrated space launch and other technology it could use to begin to develop a militarily viable ICBM before 2035, should Tehran attempt to pursue the capability. “However, these assessments will be updated as the full impact of Operation Epic Fury’s devastating strikes on Iran’s missile production facilities, stockpiles, and launch capabilities is determined,” Ms. Gabbard said.

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Pak-Saudi Joint Defense: Is Pakistan A Major Power or Bit Player in the Middle East?

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