Comment by Riaz Haq on July 30, 2023 at 7:32pm

Pakistan: Oilseeds and Products Annual | USDA Foreign Agricultural Service


https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/pakistan-oilseeds-and-products-annual-7

As of March 2023, Pakistani authorities still ban genetically engineered (GE) oilseed imports. While they have made some progress in developing a system to allow for GE oilseed imports, uncertainty regarding when that system will be operative clouds the outlook for oilseed imports. Similar uncertainty surrounds domestic meal and oil production forecasts. With expectations for better cottonseed production, total oilseed production in 2023/24 is projected to increase to 2.95 million tons, a 24 percent above than 2022/23. In line with population growth, edible oil demand is forecast to grow about 5 percent, and palm oil imports are forecast to grow accordingly, reaching 3.6 million tons in 2023/24.

Comment by Riaz Haq on July 31, 2023 at 8:05am

The rise in global cotton production is led by the US, Pakistan, and India, with a drop in China's output due to cooler weather conditions.

https://www.fibre2fashion.com/news/textile-news/global-cotton-produ...

Global cotton production in FY24 is forecast to reach a four-year high of 116.7 million bales, up slightly from the previous year, as per USDA.
The rise is led by the US, Pakistan, and India, with a drop in China's output due to cooler weather conditions.
Australia's FY24 cotton production is projected at 5.8 million bales, 300,000 bales above FY23.


World cotton production is projected to reach a four-year high of 116.7 million bales in 2023-24 (FY24), according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA). The expected growth in production represents a slight increase of 400,000 bales from the previous year.
The increase is predominantly driven by the major cotton-producing countries, with the US and Pakistan leading the charge. Both countries are projected to see a significant rise in production, each adding 2 million bales to the global yield. India is also expected to contribute to the surge, albeit on a lesser scale, with an additional half a million bales.

However, these gains will be partially offset by a reduction in output from China, the world's leading cotton producer. The Chinese crop is anticipated to shrink by 3.7 million bales in the 2023-24 season due to cooler than normal temperatures early in the growing season in China's Xinjiang region, which could limit yield potential. This decrease means China's contribution to global cotton production is expected to shrink from 26 per cent in 2022-23 to 23 per cent in 2023-24, as per USDA’s Cotton and Wool Outlook: June 2023 report.

Meanwhile, India is set to buck this trend with a projected 2-per cent increase in cotton production from the 2022-23 crop. This rise comes despite an expected reduction in harvested area, with alternative crops predicted to reduce cotton acreage to 12.4 million hectares. A rebound in yield is set to offset this, with the national yield forecast at 448 kg per hectare, the highest in three years. India's share in global cotton production is set to remain steady at approximately 22 per cent.

Outside of the US, other countries including Brazil, Pakistan, and Australia are also projected to see an increase in cotton production. Brazil's output is expected to hit 13.25 million bales, slightly above the 2022-23 figure and second only to 2019-20's record of nearly 13.8 million bales.

Pakistan's cotton production is set to rebound from the nearly four-decade low of 3.9 million bales recorded in 2022-23 due to flood damage. The forecast production of 5.9 million bales for 2023-24 will account for 5 per cent of global production.

Lastly, Australia's 2023-24 cotton production is projected at 5.8 million bales, 300,000 bales above 2022-23 and close to 2021-22’s record of 5.85 million bales, supported by above-average reservoir levels.

Comment by Riaz Haq on July 31, 2023 at 8:16am

Oilseeds in Pakistan


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFil...

Oilseed Production:
Following last year’s flood-damaged cottonseed crop, total oilseed production in 2023/24 is projected to
increase 24 percent to 2.9 million tons, driven by a rebound in cottonseed production. While cottonseed
production is forecast to recover, little change is expected for rapeseed and sunflower production as
returns for other crops hinders oilseed area expansion.
Both rapeseed and sunflower production in 2022/23 are forecast to increase, but their share in total
oilseed supplies will remain at only about 20 percent. The government offered a 12,500 rupees ($50) per
hectare subsidy for oilseed growers in Punjab, which is one reason for the increase in canola output.
Nonetheless, the government generally also offers a generous guaranteed price for wheat, which
competes directly with rapeseed for area. Because of the more profitable guaranteed price offered for
wheat, growers will favor planting wheat over oilseeds. As a result, no expansion in rapeseed nor
sunflower seed production is expected for 2023/24. Domestic soybean production is insignificant.
Cottonseed:
Cottonseed production in 2023/24 is projected at 2.3 million tons, a 34 percent increase over the 2022/23
output. This increase reflects expectations for a recovery in yield following the flood-damaged 2022/23
output. Cottonseed is the principal oilseed crop grown, accounting for more than 70 percent of domestic
oilseed production. Cottonseed production is driven by demand for cotton lint from the local textile
sector, which is Pakistan’s number one export-oriented manufacturing industry. Despite the textile
sector’s requests and government efforts to increase cotton production, cottonseed output has been
declining for several years.
Rapeseed:
Due to better returns from crops (mainly wheat) that compete with rapeseed for area, no increase in
rapeseed production in 2023/24 is expected. Output in 2022/23 is forecast to increase as government
subsidies resulted in an increase in planted area.
Sunflower Seed:
Sunflower seed area and production are expected to decline in 2023/24 due to better returns from other
crops.
Consumption:
In 2023/24, total oilseed use, almost all of which is for crushing, is forecast at 3.6 million tons, 17
percent higher than the 2022/23 estimated use. Total installed crushing capacity is around 8 million tons
and no additional capacity going to be added in system. This higher consumption forecast assumes the
government removes the ban on GE soybean imports, which will then result in increased crushing for
poultry feed.
As a result of the import ban, oilseed use in 2022/23 is estimated to decline at least 21 percent. The
lower oilseed crushing has resulted in a commensurate decline in poultry feed consumption and poultry
meat production. Since the government abruptly halted soybean imports in November 2022, poultry
meat output is off about 31 percent and poultry prices have more than doubled.

Comment by Riaz Haq on September 3, 2023 at 7:25pm

Pakistan aims to boost oilseed cultivation

https://tribune.com.pk/story/2430331/pakistan-aims-to-boost-oilseed...

The Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) has been instrumental in developing new rapeseed varieties, which have been adopted in some northern regions of China. The success of these efforts has enabled China to rotate rapeseed(Canola) crops with staple crops like rice and wheat, maximising land utilisation.

Pakistan is now tapping into this experience by collaborating with Chinese company Wuhan Qingfa-Hesheng and Pakistani firm Evyol Group. Together, they are providing high-quality hybrid rapeseeds (Canola) to Pakistani farmers. Ghazanfar Ali, head of marketing at Evyol Group, emphasised the suitability of their variety for local climate conditions. “It took us 10 years to produce a variety that is compatible with the local climate, produces a good yield and is good for human health,” he said, noting that farmers can achieve 1.5 tonnes of yield from 2 acres of land, surpassing current varieties available in Pakistan by over 10%.

Zhou Xusheng, director of the international business department at Wuhan Qingfa-Hesheng Seed company, outlined their ambitions. “This year we sold 11 tonnes of seeds across Pakistan, which will be cultivated on 20,000 acres, and our target for next year is 100 tonnes.” He also highlighted their intention to purchase the canola harvest from certain farmers and supply it to edible oil factories, thereby promoting the benefits of locally-produced oil.

Comment by Riaz Haq on September 7, 2023 at 11:44am

Pakistan’s annual consumption of edible oil is around 5 million tons, but due to the low economic potential of oilseeds in the local market, they are not preferred by the farmers. The country has to import about 89 percent of oil to meet the demand, spending US$3.6 billion annually.

https://dailytimes.com.pk/1122982/chinese-company-to-help-pakistan-...

Pakistan’s iron brother, China, also has great demand for edible oil. Last year, China’s cooking oil consumption is about 13.44 million tons. China also suffered a short domestic supply of edible oil until the mid-1950s, when China began to promote brassica napus, also known as victory rapeseed. Brassica napus plants are tall, disease resistant, and more importantly, the yield is very high. The improvement of rapeseed varieties laid the foundation for China to greatly increase rapeseed production.

In recent years, the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) has made a great breakthrough in breeding new varieties of rapeseed, which have been extended to some parts of northern China. Rapeseed now realized seasonal rotation with rice, wheat and other staple crops, which maximizes the utilization of arable land. Such Chinese experience and technologies can be a good reference for Pakistan, according to CEN.


Chinese company Wuhan Qingfa-Hesheng and a Pakistani company Evyol Group jointly provide high-quality hybrid rapeseeds to Pakistani farmers. “It took us 10 years to produce a variety that is compatible with the local climate, produces a good yield and is good for human health,” said Ghazanfar Ali, head of marketing in the Evyol group. “The crop provides an increased profit for the farmers. They can get 1.5 tons of yield out of 2 acres of land, which is over 10 percent more than the yield from other varieties currently available in Pakistan.”

“This year we sold 11 tons of seeds across Pakistan, which will be cultivated on 20,000 acres, and our target for next year is 100 tons,” said Zhou Xusheng, director of the international business department of Wuhan Qingfa-Hesheng Seed company.

The Chinese company will also buy back the canola harvest from some of the farmers and send it to the edible oil factories so that both farmer and the factory owners can realize the potential and health benefits of the oil.

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