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A 2024 joint study of the International Labor Organization and the Small and Medium Enterprise Development Authority (SMEDA) estimated Pakistan's undocumented economy at $457 billion. While other South Asian nations, particularly Bangladesh and India, do include estimated undocumented GDP figures in their official GDP, Pakistan's official GDP figures do not include such estimates. If the Pakistani government decides to include estimates of the informal economy in its official figures, the country's GDP would jump to $1,059 billion in market exchange terms and over $4,000 billion in PPP terms.
In 2023 when the ILO-SMEDA study was conducted, Pakistan's official GDP was $340 billion (34% less than the undocumented GDP), bringing the total real GDP for 2023 to $797 billion. Pakistan's official GDP figure for 2025-26 is projected to be $452 billion. Assuming that the undocumented GDP has grown at the same rate as the official GDP, the undocumented GDP today works out to $607 billion, bringing the total GDP (documented and undocumented) to over $1 trillion. In terms of purchasing power parity, the total national economy, including the informal economy, is estimated to be over $4 trillion, which translates to over $16,000 per capita.
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Pakistan Household Survey HIES 2024-25 Raises More Questions Than It Answers
Recently released HIES 2024-25 household integrated economic survey by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) raises more questions than it answers. For example, it shows that Pakistani households are buying lower amounts of basic food ingredients like wheat, meat and eggs in the last four years, implying that people are eating less to cover other expenses, like electricity and gas. But it doesn't explain why the households have reported significantly lower purchases of these items than production reported recently by the PBS. What is the source of this discrepancy? Is the data flawed? Or, is it missing a new trend toward less home cooking? Is the young urbanized population buying more prepared foods? Are they ordering out more often using ubiquitous food delivery services? Let us try and understand it in more detail.
https://www.riazhaq.com/2026/01/pakistan-household-survey-hies-2024...
Can Technology And Skills Change Pakistan’s Growth Story? – OpEd
July 2, 2026 0 Comments
By Ali Mehar
https://www.eurasiareview.com/02072026-can-technology-and-skills-ch...
Pakistan’s future will not be decided just by the size of its problems, only by how seriously it turns its strengths into national power. For decades, the country has been described through crisis, debt, energy shortages, climate vulnerability, weak productivity, and governance gaps. These challenges are still real and they cannot be wished away. However, there is another Pakistan showing up too: younger, more connected, more entrepreneurial, more digitally aware and increasingly mindful about sustainable development. The real chance now is to match this human energy with technology, clean power and modern farming practices.
Pakistan’s demographic picture gives it this kind of unusual, quiet advantage. Over 60 percent of Pakistan’s people are below age 30. That “youth bulge” can turn into a drag, if they’re left without work and without proper training. Or it can be, sort of the most reliable engine of growth, if they’re given practical know-how and tied into global markets. With more than 100 million internet users, Pakistan already has the basic digital floor to widen online work, technology exports, e-commerce, remote services, and even new kinds of digital entrepreneurship. So the mission is not really to argue that Pakistan has talent. The real challenge is organizing that talent into something like a productive economic force.
The rise of IT and freelancing basically shows what can happen when young Pakistanis get connected to opportunity. Technology exports hovering around US$4.2 billion during the first eleven months of fiscal year 2025–26 signals a big change in how the economy is moving. And IT exports aren’t only a few figures sitting on a balance sheet. They’re the software houses, startups, coders, designers, AI specialists, cloud engineers, and business process professionals earning income from international clients. In a country that’s often under strain due to foreign exchange shortages, every dollar made through knowledge-driven exports helps reinforce economic resilience.
Freelancing has become this more visible sign of the whole transformation, like you can actually see it now. Pakistani freelancers bringing in roughly US$1.6 billion during the first eleven months of FY2025–26 suggests that the digital economy is cracking open doors beyond the usual job arrangement. This matters, a lot, for a country where government-sector positions are limited and the private sector still does not take in enough people. Freelancing lets young folks monetize abilities from homes, small towns, universities and co working spaces, sort of in a low barrier way. It also gives women and students a flexible route toward income, especially when movement is hard, social barriers are real, or local hiring is just not there.
The following is a fintech and wider digital economic development view of the South Asian nation of Pakistan in 2026.
By Richie Santosdiaz
https://thefintechtimes.com/fintech-landscape-of-pakistan-in-2026/
Pakistan’s fintech story cannot be separated from the country’s wider economic challenges. For years, Pakistan has faced recurring balance-of-payments pressures, high inflation, currency volatility, fiscal constraints and the difficult task of expanding formal economic participation across a population of more than 240 million people. These structural pressures have shaped almost every part of the economy, including financial services.
That is why fintech in Pakistan matters. It is not simply about digital wallets, payment apps or startup valuations. It is about whether technology can help make one of South Asia’s largest economies more efficient, more inclusive and more formalised.
“Is Fintech the Key to Economic Revival in Pakistan?”was written by me and it highlighted how fintech could support financial inclusion, digital payments, small and medium enterprise (SME) finance, remittances and broader economic recovery. That argument remains highly relevant today, particularly as Pakistan continues trying to move more economic activity into formal and digital channels.
Pakistan’s economic scale is significant. Pakistan’s gross domestic product (GDP) stood at around $371.6billion in 2024, while GDP per capita was approximately shy of $1,500. The economy is supported by agriculture, textiles, manufacturing, services, remittances, construction, telecommunications and a large informal sector, all according to the World Bank. Karachi remains the country’s financial centre, Lahore is a major commercial and technology hub, and Islamabad serves as the political and regulatory capital.
Yet Pakistan’s biggest fintech opportunity may lie outside its formal banking system. Millions of people remain underbanked or financially excluded. The World Bank’s Global Findex Database continues to highlight the importance of account ownership, digital payments and mobile-enabled finance in expanding financial inclusion globally. In Pakistan, the gap between population size and formal financial usage remains one of the most important development challenges facing the sector.
This is where digital finance can have an outsized impact. A bank branch-based model alone cannot serve Pakistan’s entire population efficiently. Geography, income levels, informality and documentation barriers all limit traditional banking reach. Digital wallets, agent networks, mobile accounts and instant payments therefore offer a more scalable path to inclusion.
Payments are the clearest example. Pakistan has spent the past several years building the foundations for a more digital payments economy. The State Bank of Pakistan’s Raast Instant Payment System has become one of the country’s flagship financial infrastructure initiatives, designed to enable low-cost, real-time digital payments between individuals, businesses and government entities. The creation of Raast Payments Pakistan Pvt. Ltd. further signals the central bank’s ambition to institutionalise and expand the country’s digital payments infrastructure.
This infrastructure matters because payments sit at the heart of formalisation.
When salaries, merchant transactions, remittances, utility bills and government payments move digitally, they create records. Those records can support credit scoring, taxation, consumer protection and better financial planning. In a country where cash and informality remain deeply embedded, digital payments can gradually change the structure of economic participation.
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Policy-makers need data to formulate good policies. Good data produced by government agencies can be expected to lead to good policies and desirable outcomes. But data collection and statistical analyses require adequate methodologies and resources. Unfortunately, Pakistan's data quality gets a "C" grade by international agencies like the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Clearly the country faces significant data quality challenges. These challenges range from estimation of the size…
ContinuePosted by Riaz Haq on July 7, 2026 at 9:30am — 6 Comments
Pakistan is experiencing soaring demand for electricity across all of the sectors of its economy. The new demand is being met by rapidly growing deployment of distributed solar, estimated at 38 GW as of June, 2025. In 2025, 44% of solar deployment was residential, followed by industry (26%), agriculture (21%) and commercial users (9%). The expansion of distributed solar has enhanced electrification across the economy, lifting Pakistan's electrification rate to 21.7%…
ContinuePosted by Riaz Haq on June 30, 2026 at 1:30pm — 5 Comments
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