EU-India Trade Deal: "Uncapped" Mass Migration of Indians?

The European Union (EU) and India have recently agreed to a trade deal which includes an MOU to allow “an uncapped mobility for Indian students”, according to officials, allowing Indians greater ease to travel, study and work across EU states. India's largest and most valuable export to the world is its people who last year sent $135 billion in remittances to their home country. Going by the numbers, the Indian economy is a tiny fraction of the European Union economy. Indians make up 17.8% of the world population but contribute only 3.3% of the global GDP. The European Union, on the other hand, has just 5.6% of the global population and produces 17.8% of the world's economic output. 

Indian Economy Dwarfed by EU. Source: DW

If finally signed and implemented, this "uncapped mobility" for Indians will probably become the most significant part of the deal.  “More than 800,000 Indians are living and actively contributing to the countries of the European Union", according to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.  The two sides welcomed the conclusion of the India‑EU Comprehensive Framework of Cooperation on Mobility, in line with the national competences of EU Member States and India and domestic legislation of both parties. They applauded the launch of the first pilot European Legal Gateway Office, as a one‑stop hub to provide information and support the movement of workers, starting with the ICT sector. 

Indians are currently the seventh-largest migrant group in Germany. Just the talk of "uncapped mobility" from India will trigger a backlash across Europe where far-right parties opposed to all immigration are gaining popularity. There have been high-profile hate incidents against Indians in several European countries recently.  While the rise of the AfD (Alternative for Germany) has increased hatred against Indian migrants, the arrival of the far-right in the mainstream political system in Germany has also started a conversation on racism that otherwise would have been swept under the rug. 

EU-India Migration Agreement Tweeted by Modi

Undaunted by the anti-immigrant sentiments, the Indian government has quietly signed labor mobility agreements with at least 20 countries over the past half-dozen years — in Europe and Asia, including the Persian Gulf — all with developed economies and most without much history of hiring Indian workers, according to the New York Times.  Arnab Bhattacharya, the chief executive of the "Global Access to Talent From India Foundation" think tank, estimates that India could double its current export of 700,000 workers a year to 1.5 million by 2030. His country, he told the NY Times, “has a workforce that should be servicing the world and not just India.” Their real aim is to deal with the ongoing unemployment crisis in India. 

EU-India Migration Agreement Tweeted by Modi

Indian economy is not generating enough jobs for the nation's growing working age population. Corporate profits of Indian firms are growing at a much slower pace than the 8.2% GDP growth in its most recent quarter. Net income for Nifty 50 Index firms likely rose 1.1% in the three months through Dec. 31 from a year earlier, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. That would be the slowest pace in five quarters, weighed down by deteriorating margins for banks. Falling profits and declining currency are causing foreign capital to flee Indian markets. Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) pulled out over $20 billion from Indian equities in 2025, marking a severe, sustained withdrawal that has continued into 2026.  Net Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has seen consecutive monthly outflows, including $1.67 billion in October and $446 million in November 2025. Investment banker Ruchir Sharma wrote about it in a Financial Times op ed titled "India needs to import more capital and export fewer workers". Ruchir wrote: "Most strikingly, corporate revenue normally grows (or shrinks) with the economy — in any country. But last year corporate revenue growth for listed companies in India decelerated to barely half the GDP growth rate"

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Comment by Riaz Haq 7 hours ago

Germany Introduces New Visa Options for Pakistani IT Professionals

https://www.techjuice.pk/germany-introduces-new-visa-options-for-pa...

Germany has introduced updated immigration rules aimed at attracting skilled IT professionals from around the world, including Pakistan, by simplifying visa procedures and expanding residency options for technology workers.

The new framework, introduced under policies linked to Germany’s Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, provides multiple pathways for qualified IT professionals seeking employment and long-term residence in the country. The updated rules also establish revised salary thresholds effective from January 2026.

One of the primary routes is the Residence Permit for Skilled Workers, which is available to applicants with recognized academic or vocational qualifications and a confirmed job offer from a German employer. Applicants aged over 45 must meet a minimum annual salary requirement of €55,770 or demonstrate adequate pension provisions.

Germany is also continuing its EU Blue Card program for highly skilled professionals. To qualify, applicants must possess a university degree recognized in Germany and secure a relevant job offer. The minimum annual salary requirement has been set at €45,934.20, while salaries exceeding €50,700 are exempt from approval by the Federal Employment Agency.

The reforms also create opportunities for experienced IT professionals who do not hold a university degree. Under one pathway, applicants with at least three years of IT experience within the previous seven years can qualify with a valid job offer and compliance with salary requirements. Another simplified route allows individuals with two years of recent IT experience to apply if they secure employment offering a minimum annual salary of €45,630.

Germany has also introduced flexibility for employers operating under collective bargaining agreements, allowing certain salary exemptions while ensuring workers receive equivalent benefits and protections.

The reforms are intended to address Germany’s growing shortage of skilled technology workers and strengthen the country’s position as a leading destination for global IT talent.

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