Comment by Riaz Haq on October 31, 2025 at 7:54pm

Parvin Sawhney x Arfa Khanum | Pakistan’s Real Power & India’s Fear Exposed Full Interview Analysis

(In essence, Sawhney said Pakistan won against India in Modi's Op Sindoor

https://youtu.be/fHWQGUB2l48?si=8tptw8UTdjWH-Ln1

In this powerful interview with journalist Arfa Khanum Sherwani, defence expert Parvin Sawhney shares bold insights about South Asia’s military balance — from Kargil to today’s modern battlefield. She explains why Pakistan’s army stays confident and why India’s forces hesitate before any major action.

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BJP Governments Show of Force Has Weakened India's National Security

https://youtu.be/XXK5N_hBSaE?si=zvV-d1AFx0l4TVo9

Comment by Riaz Haq on November 27, 2025 at 9:29pm

Sushant Singh
@SushantSin
The Delhi blast matters not only because it represents a security failure, but because it reveals the deeper failure of Modi’s strategic approach.
I write in
@thecaravanindia
on why Modi did not go on a Pakistan-bashing spree after the Delhi blast.

https://x.com/SushantSin/status/1993966922547831004?s=20

https://caravanmagazine.in/politics/modi-pakistan-delhi-blast

On 28 November 2008, Narendra Modi, then Gujarat’s chief minister, stood outside the Oberoi Trident hotel in Mumbai, ready to deliver a clear message. Terror attacks had unfolded just days ago. Modi blamed Pakistan, well before any evidence was available. He argued that “the country needs a government that takes decisive action, not one that watches while terrorists strike at will.” He spoke of himself as the man who saw conspiraciesothers missed. Throughout his career, this would be a key pillar of Modi’s political identity: the promise to target and punish Pakistan. As prime minister, he did so after Uri in 2016, Pulwama in 2019 and Pahalgam in April 2025.

But this November, when a car explosion near Delhi’s historic Red Fort killed at least fifteen people, something was different about Modi’s script. The prime minister spoke of conspirators. He spoke of justice. He promised that those responsible would not be spared. Yet conspicuously absent from his remarks was any mention of Pakistan.

This omission is not an accident, or a moment of tactical recalibration or restraint. There have been some leads bringing up the possibility of Pakistani involvement. In a video, now viral on social media, Anwarul Haq, the former “Prime Minister” of Pakistan-occupied Kashmir, is heard saying that terror groups linked to Pakistan carried out attacks “from the Red Fort to the forests of Kashmir.” An Indian Express report has also noted that one of the handlers of the Delhi blast fled to Pakistan. Where the Modi government has previously pounced on Pakistan on far less evidence, it has so far held back even in the face of these new developments.

In one sense, this represents an admission that Operation Sindoor—the military operation of May 2025 after the Pahalgam attack, when triumphalist claims of destroying terrorist headquarters inside Pakistan—has failed to eliminate the threat of terrorism in India. By characterising the Delhi blast’s perpetrators as self-radicalised rather than Pakistan-backed, the government has tacitly confessed that eleven years of Modi’s Hindutva regime have produced the ideological and social conditions that can induce people to embrace extremist violence, without requiring any external support. Most critically, Modi’s stance reflects a converging set of geopolitical constraints. It is a reckoning of US President Donald Trump’s transactional pivot toward Pakistan, Asim Munir’s consolidation of unprecedented control over Pakistan, Pakistan’s new defence pact with Saudi Arabia, and India’s own vulnerabilities.

Comment by Riaz Haq on November 28, 2025 at 9:50am

Fidato
@tequieremos
Pakistan has won the Oxford Union debate against India with a 2/3 majority after panelists were changed on both the sides.

Pakistani side was represented by Moosa Haraj, Israr Khan Kakar & Ahmad Nawaz while India's panel included the hindutva poster boy J. Sai Deepak, Pandit Satish K. Sharma and Devarchan Banerjee.

https://x.com/tequieremos/status/1994277708839444735?s=20

-------------


Tejasswi Prakash
@Tiju0Prakash
According to reports, even Indian experts chose not to defend BJP policies during the Oxford debate.

Their decision to walk out of a debate titled “Indian Policy towards Pakistan is a populist strategy sold as security policy” reinforces our claim that all these stunts BJP unfolds are to divert the attention of innocent masses from their poor governance and corruption and to get votes and nothing else.

Special praise to the former Indian Army Chief, for maintaining professional integrity by refraining from presenting BJP position on an international platform. I believe that our incumbent forces chiefs learn from that and will also maintain apolitical professional outlook.

https://x.com/Tiju0Prakash/status/1994055774117470512?s=20

Comment by Riaz Haq on December 3, 2025 at 10:22am

The Whistle Blower
@InsiderWB
Breaking News:

Chief of Naval Staff Dinesh K Tripathi takes a jibe at Indian Air Force.

"Keeping our capital ships inside was a deliberate force-protection and perception-management choice. You deny the enemy the spectacle they are preparing for. In that sense, the Navy protected its credibility, and there is a lesson in this for the Air Force too: sometimes the strongest move against Pakistan is refusing the engagement they are trying to script."

https://x.com/InsiderWB/status/1996228955263627368?s=20

Comment by Riaz Haq on December 17, 2025 at 11:15am

Congress Leader Says India Faced Decisive Defeat by Pakistan in May Conflict

https://thediplomaticinsight.com/congress-leader-says-india-faced-d...

Pune (TDI): Months after the May conflict between Pakistan and India, former Maharashtra Chief Minister and senior Congress leader Prithviraj Chavan has stated that India suffered a decisive defeat during the aerial engagement that took place on May 7.

Chavan said, “Accept it or not, we were fully defeated in the half-hour aerial engagement on the first day of Operation Sindoor. The Indian Air Force was completely grounded, and not a single aircraft flew due to the risk of being shot down by Pakistan’s air defenses.”

He added that if any aircraft had taken off from Gwalior, Bathinda, or Sirsa, it would have faced a high probability of being downed, highlighting Pakistan’s robust aerial combat response.

The conflict, which lasted four days, was triggered by India’s missile strikes inside Pakistani territory, resulting in casualties among civilians and security personnel. The Pakistan Air Force (PAF) shot down seven Indian aircraft, including Rafales, and reportedly destroyed an S-400 defence system. Pakistan also carried out retaliatory strikes targeting multiple Indian military sites.

Read More: Bangladesh Signals Openness to New Bloc with Pakistan, Surpassing India

The hostilities concluded on May 10 following a US-brokered ceasefire agreement. A subsequent report submitted to the United States Congress by the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission noted Pakistan’s use of advanced Chinese weaponry during the conflict, including the HQ-9 air-defense system, PL-15 air-to-air missiles, and J-10C fighter jets, marking their first operational deployment in active combat.

Read More: US Security Strategy Highlights Trump’s Mediation Between Pakistan and India

Earlier this month, Chief of Defense Forces Field Marshal Asim Munir issued a warning to India, stating that any future aggression would be met with a “swift and intense” response.

Comment by Riaz Haq on December 29, 2025 at 7:51pm

Tom Shugart
@tshugart3


Last week saw the release of the 2025 China Military Power Report (CMPR). For those not familiar, this is DoD’s Congressionally-mandated unclassified update on the Chinese military. It’s an annual feast of open-source data.

So, here are few thoughts (Part 1) on the report:

https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315617906401580?s=61&t=mgTxr...

————

While the 2024 report's exec summary says the driver of China's national strategy is to achieve China's "great rejuvenation" by 2049, the 2025 report sees China overall goal as the displacement of the U.S. as the world's most powerful nation.


https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315631655338220?s=61&t=mgTxr...

———-

The new report's exec summary makes a pretty strong statement: the PLA is making progress specifically toward its goal to be able to achieve victory over Taiwan and balance against the U.S. - that China expects to be able to "fight and win a war on Taiwan by the end of 2027".

https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315635921010802?s=61&t=mgTxr...

———-

The new report also states that China has been practicing components of all of its options to force Taiwan unification, including strikes on U.S. forces in the Pacific that could "seriously challenge and disrupt" them out to 1500-2000 nm.


https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315642363367634?s=61&t=mgTxr...

————-
In the section on PLA Navy modernization (which lacks some data like total hull count predictions as in previous reports), we see a statement that's been making some headlines: that the PLAN aims to produce six MORE aircraft carriers over the next decade.


https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315675242598408?s=61&t=mgTxr...

———-

On the topic of PLA modernization, we see confirmation China's been testing 6th-gen aircraft, with an operational timeline of 2035.

We're also told China's KJ-3000 AEW aircraft will probably be the first to use digital radar, though I don't know why the E-2D & E-7 don't count?


https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315671698313705?s=61&t=mgTxr...





—————+

This is the first time I can recall seeing a PRC carrier force size prediction from DoD, and tbh I find it somewhat astonishing.

This means that in addition to the 2 ski-jump carriers, and Fujian which is on sea trials now, and the purported CVN (not confirmed here by DoD)...




https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315678409261370?s=61&t=mgTxr...

————-


...DoD expects the PLA to at least launch five MORE carriers in the next 10 years?

For perspective, the USN will be buying its next five carriers over more than twice that timeline so...given that U.S. carriers are deployed globally, they will end up outnumbered in the Pacific.


https://x.com/tshugart3/status/2005315682020528161?s=61&t=mgTxr...

Comment by Riaz Haq on January 5, 2026 at 4:28pm

India, Pakistan advance a diverse range of missiles
Both nations tested conventional missiles over the holiday period


https://www.army-technology.com/features/india-pakistan-advance-a-d...


Therefore, in late December 2025, Indian forces tested a number of missile capabilities including the Pralay quasi ballistic missile and Pinaka long range guided rockets. Foremost among them however was a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) from Arihant Class SSBNs.
Widespread reporting suggests the service tested the K4 SLBM, which is nuclear capable and has a range of 3,500 kilometres.
Commentary from Chatham House alluded to three delays in the run up to the K4 test, which was said to be due to the increased presence of Chinese research vessels (thought to be equipped with sensors) in the northern and central Indian Ocean at the time.


A total of four Arihant Class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) are planned, two (S2 and S3) are in active service and the remaining two (S4 and S4*) are undergoing sea trials.
S2 and S3 feature four vertical launch system (VLS) tubes and can carry either 12 K-15 (750–1,500 km range) or four K-4 SLBMs. S4 and S4* have double the number of VLS tubes, meaningthey can carry either 24 K-15 or eight K-4 SLBMs.
India also seems to be developing longer range K-5 SLBMs with a range between 5,000 and 8,000 km. Such missiles will equip the upcoming S5-class SSBNs, which are scheduled to be inducted by the mid 2030s.

Of course, such a range far exceeds that of its smaller rival Pakistan. Indeed, Globato 2,500 km, supported by airborne options like Su 30MKI and Rafale. “Sea based missiles instead focus on China” he maintained.
“Due to their shorter range, the K-15 equipped SSBNs have to operate in shallow waters of the Arabian Sea, making them susceptible to detection by Pakistan Navy’s MPAs naval ships. With the K-4 and K-5 SLBMs, Indian Navy’s SSBNs can operate much farther, beyond the range of maritime patrol assets of Pakistan Navy and People’s Liberation Army Navy.
“The Indian Navy will be able to cover the entire Pakistan and most of China by deploying the K-4 equipped SSBNs in the Bay of Bengal. This area is optimal for deployment of SSBN mainly due to deep waters and proximity to Indian Navy’s Eastern Naval Command (Visakhapatnam).”

The most recent announcement came from the Pakistan Air Force (PAF), which said it tested the Taimoor Air-Launched Cruise Missile (ALCM) for the first time on 3 January 2026.
Following their ostensible success in supposedly destroying a Rafale fighter jet using Chinese-designed PL-15E missiles last year, the PAF is now looking to build their own sovereign airspace capabilities. The ALCM was built by the state controlled company, Global Industrial and Defence Solutions (GIDS).
Taimoor is a precision-strike cruise missile capable of engaging enemy land and sea targets at a range of 600 kilometres with a conventional warhead. The ALCM flies at very low altitudes, “enabling it to effectively evade hostile air and missile defence systems” the PAF said.
The weapon utilises two wings and three fins during its flight time after launch, in the same way as the Western Storm Shadow counterpart.

Likewise, Taimoor can also engage targets at sea which is necessary given the considerable Indian naval threat. However Mangure was less optimistic in conversation with this reporter, upon considering the prospective timeline for delivery.
“Even if we consider a highly optimistic four-to-five year timeline for the development and testing of the missile, the operational deployment may not happen before 2028,” he maintained.
“At that point in time, it does not seem to offer any incremental threat to the Indian Navy, which has inducted advanced frigates and destroyers equipped with Barak-8 anti-missile systems, specifically designed to intercept supersonic BrahMos class missiles” such as the CM-302, which is an export variant of Chinese YJ-12 anti-ship/land attack cruise missile.

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