Pak-Saudi Joint Defense: Is Pakistan A Major Power or Bit Player in the Middle East?

The recently signed “Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement” between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan states that “any aggression against either country will be considered an aggression against both”. It is being seen by some geopolitical analysts as the beginning of an "Islamic NATO". Others, such as Indian-American analyst Shadanand Dhume, have dismissed Pakistan as no more than a "bit player" in the Middle East. Where does the truth lie? 

Pakistan PM Shahbaz Sharif(L) with Saudi Crown Prince MBS

Is Pakistan really capable of defending Saudi Arabia and other Arab Gulf nations against external aggression such as the recent Israeli attack on Qatar? Can Pakistan provide a nuclear umbrella to deter aggression against its friends in the Middle East? Or is it too weak economically and unstable politically to provide security guarantees to the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) nations like Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates?  Let's try and understand the context which has brought about this bilateral security arrangement between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. 

The oil-rich Gulf Arab nations have long relied on the West for their security. But, on September 9, 2025, when Israel launched an airstrike on a residential compound in Doha, Qatar, the U.S. and its western allies did nothing to defend the Qataris. It’s notable that this attack occurred on a U.S. ally which hosts the largest American military base in the region. The fact that the United States did nothing to stop this Israeli aggression has shaken the confidence of the G.C.C. nations in the willingness of the United States to defend them, particularly from any Israeli attacks. Israel has attacked almost every country in the Middle East, including Iran, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen in the last 12 months.  Israel has gone rogue. It is carrying out a genocide in Gaza with impunity. It is being aided and abetted by the West in its crimes against humanity. It appears to have the license from the United States to do so. 

Given these realities, who can the Gulf Arabs turn to for security?  Which Muslim nation has Saudi Arabia had the closest military ties with for decades?  Which country with nuclear weapons is most likely to deter attacks on the Saudis from nuclear-armed adversaries like Israel? Who else but nuclear-armed Pakistan!  

 Oval Office Photo: L to R: VP JD Vance, President Trump, PM Sharif, FM Munir & Sec of State Rubio

There has been no official reaction to the Pakistani-Saudi Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement so far. However, judging from the recent cordial meeting of the Pakistani Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif and Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir with President Trump at the White House, it appears that Team Trump does not object to it. 

In recent years, Pakistan has emerged as a credible military power in terms of both conventional and nuclear capabilities. The Pakistani military's strong performance was recognized in May this year as it responded to what India called its "Operation Sindoor".  The country has developed a range of short and medium-range missiles capable of carrying both conventional and nuclear warheads. Its longest range missile Shaheen 3 can hit deep inside India and Israel. Last year, the Biden administration imposed sanctions against Pakistan after accusing it of developing intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) capable of reaching the US mainland. 

In January this year at an Islamabad event,  Ambassador Munir Akram articulated potential rationales for developing a missile of increased range, according to the US Congressional Research Service. A missile exceeding the Shaheen-III range may be necessary to reach Indian missiles deployed on bases in the Indian Ocean located "well beyond" the Shaheen-III range, he said, adding that India has sought to establish access to such bases. Akram also posited that Pakistan may need to develop an indigenous space launch vehicle or an anti-satellite weapon; ballistic missile programs can aid the development of such platforms.


Biden Administration Accused Pakistan of Developing Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles

Yes, Pakistan does have a weak economy. But that is primarily because of significant underinvestment over decades. That’s where the oil-rich Gulf Arab nations can help. They have been investing trillions of dollars in the West in the hope of getting security from them. They have huge sovereign investment funds which can invest in Pakistan. Even if they invest a fraction of what they have invested in the U.S., the positive effects on Pakistan’s economy will be immense. 

As to Pakistan’s political instability, it can be managed by a hybrid system of government where the politicians and the generals reach an understanding to benefit both as well as the country. It will also serve Saudi interests to use its considerable influence in Pakistan to bring political and economic stability to the country. 

Given today's geopolitical realities, Pakistan is the best choice for Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations to deter aggression from Israel and other aggressors in the region.  Gulf Arab nations have generally welcomed the Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement (SMDA) between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, viewing it as a move that strengthens regional security amid concerns about US commitments. Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian has also welcomed it, describing it as "a beginning for a comprehensive regional security system". In a speech to the United Nations General Assembly, he said: “Iran welcomes the defensive pact between the two brotherly Muslim countries, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, as a beginning for a comprehensive regional security system with the cooperation of the Muslim states of West Asia in the political security and defense domains”.  

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Views: 323

Comment by Riaz Haq 5 hours ago

China is moving to bolster its security presence in the Middle East through comprehensive partnerships, and the Pakistani-Chinese alliance serves as a bridge to elevate this partnership.
Dr.Nadia Helmy
BY
DR.NADIA HELMY


https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2026/03/27/behind-the-gulfs-shift-to-bei...

The Pakistani army plays a pivotal strategic role in bridging the military perspectives of China and the Gulf states, leveraging its close ties with Beijing and its historical defense partnerships with Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Currently, there is no formal, unified joint military structure between Pakistan and the Gulf under Chinese leadership, but current developments suggest the establishment of an integrated security system in which Pakistan acts as a conduit for transferring Chinese expertise and technology to the region. Here, China places great importance on the role of the Pakistani army in facilitating interoperability between Chinese and Gulf military doctrines: The Pakistani army works to coordinate interoperability between Gulf and Chinese forces through multilateral military exercises: Pakistan conducts regular, intensive exercises with China, such as Shaheen and Sea Guardian, and others with Saudi Arabia, such as Al-Kasih. This allows Pakistan to develop military protocols that combine Eastern and Western training methods, facilitating their future integration into regional security structures. With intelligence sharing between China and Pakistan, Islamabad acts as an informal channel for exchanging security assessments regarding threats in the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Sea, which serves both Gulf energy security and Chinese interests.

The importance of the Chinese-Pakistani alliance in this context stems from several reasons, most notably advanced military and technological support. Pakistan relies heavily on China (approximately 70% of its defense imports between the two countries in 2019-2026), making China the primary source of drones, submarines, and advanced air defense systems that a joint force might require. Furthermore, the transfer of expertise and training: given the Pakistani army’s extensive experience in combat operations and training and its status as a strategic partner of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, its integration into a joint military structure led by Beijing would be facilitated. In addition, (Pakistan’s strategic and nuclear weight): China contributes to modernizing Pakistan’s defense capabilities, granting any potential alliance defensive depth and influence that balances other powers in the region, especially considering Pakistan’s partnerships with Turkey and China.

The most prominent roles of the Pakistani army in assisting China in forming a joint military structure with the Gulf states led by China in this context include facilitating the transfer and localization of Chinese military technology. Pakistan serves as the largest field-testing ground for Chinese weaponry and acts as a technical and operational intermediary for integrating these weapons into the arsenals of the Gulf states (by integrating Chinese combat systems into their defense ministries and armies). Here, Gulf countries, under the guidance of the Pakistani Air Force, have tested Chinese aircraft, such as the J-10C & JF-17.

Comment by Riaz Haq 5 hours ago

China is moving to bolster its security presence in the Middle East through comprehensive partnerships, and the Pakistani-Chinese alliance serves as a bridge to elevate this partnership.
Dr.Nadia Helmy

https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2026/03/27/behind-the-gulfs-shift-to-bei...


These Chinese aircraft were tested in joint exercises with Gulf countries, such as the Zelzal-2 exercise with Qatar, to assess their effectiveness against Western systems, encouraging the Gulf states to acquire them. Furthermore, the Pakistani military’s role as a strategic alternative for China in the Gulf region, especially with the signing of the Joint Strategic Defense Agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan in 2025, has positioned China as a vital supplier of weapons, training, and joint production, offering an alternative to traditional suppliers.

Here, Chinese intelligence, military, defense, and security circles view this cooperation with Pakistan as an alternative to traditional alliances and as an urgent necessity for China to restore regional balance amidst tensions with Iran. As Gulf partners seek to diversify their defense partnerships away from the West, China’s military leadership in the region is emerging. China is moving to strengthen its security presence in the Middle East through comprehensive partnerships, and the Pakistani alliance represents the bridge to elevate this partnership from the economic level within the Belt and Road Initiative to the level of a defense alliance. This ensures the security of energy supplies and maritime routes through the Arabian Sea, which connect China to the Gulf.

In this context, Pakistan plays a pivotal role as a strategic ally and a key gateway for Chinese penetration into South Asia and the Indian Ocean. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a fundamental pillar of this endeavor. Here, Pakistan provides China with a direct sea outlet via the Pakistani port of Gwadar, reducing Beijing’s reliance on the Strait of Malacca, where it competes with the United States. Meanwhile, China strengthens its presence through extensive military, economic, and technological support to achieve shared geopolitical objectives, particularly balancing power with India. The most prominent aspect of Pakistan’s role in Chinese expansion is the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

The CPEC is the flagship project of China’s Belt and Road Initiative, connecting western China to the Indian Ocean via Pakistan. It includes joint investments in infrastructure, energy, and transportation. Furthermore, the strategic role of the Pakistani port of Gwadar is crucial; located in Pakistan’s Balochistan province, Gwadar, financed and operated by the Chinese, is a key linchpin in China’s string of pearls maritime strategy, granting China a permanent naval presence in the Arabian Sea. China is therefore relying on Pakistan to secure the vital corridors of its Belt and Road Initiative, specifically the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

This corridor connects China with the Pakistani port of Gwadar, near the Iranian Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani military provides military protection for the Chinese infrastructure of this economic corridor, which Gulf states are seeking to invest in to connect their ports with Central Asia and China. Furthermore, the Pakistani military facilitates China’s naval presence in the region and the Gulf. Pakistani-Gulf maritime cooperation allows Chinese naval forces access to the region to secure trade routes, thus laying the foundation for a joint maritime security structure under Beijing’s auspices, with military assistance from the Pakistani capital, Islamabad.

Comment by Riaz Haq 5 hours ago

China is moving to bolster its security presence in the Middle East through comprehensive partnerships, and the Pakistani-Chinese alliance serves as a bridge to elevate this partnership.
Dr.Nadia Helmy

https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2026/03/27/behind-the-gulfs-shift-to-bei...

This is coupled with the existence and coordination of the China-Pakistan military and defense alliance, where Pakistan relies on China for over 70-80% of its arms imports, including fighter jets, submarines, and air defense systems. This makes Pakistan a testing ground for Chinese military technology and a counterweight to Indian superiority. Pakistan also provides reciprocal diplomatic support to China, strongly backing China’s policies on issues such as the one-China policy, Xinjiang, and Taiwan, while China defends Pakistan in international forums like the UN Security Council and the Nuclear Suppliers Group. Furthermore, Pakistan serves as a bridge to the Islamic world for China, playing a role in enhancing China’s diplomatic and political influence in the Middle East and the wider Muslim world. However, despite the economic benefits of the relationship, this penetration faces security challenges, such as attacks on Chinese workers in several Pakistani cities, perpetrated by internationally funded terrorist groups.

Finally, Pakistan plays a diplomatic and military mediating role for China. Historically, Pakistan has successfully acted as a bridge between China and the West, and today it is repeating this role between Beijing and Riyadh, aiming to reduce reliance on traditional allies. Pakistan supports the Gulf’s move towards diversifying security partnerships, promoting China as a balancing power that does not impose complex political conditions on arms deals and military cooperation. Furthermore, there is the potential for China to provide Pakistan with a nuclear umbrella. The defense partnership between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan could pave the way for strategic nuclear cooperation in which China would play a technical role, thus strengthening the military weight of this emerging axis.

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